PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Simu2

0x1b8034e757e0b2ef253ff91635c4b9d0926592af

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$35.4k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$16.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · No0.9560.879$4.60−$0.40
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.700$1.40+$0.40
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8520.959$1.12+$0.12
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No0.9000.940$1.04+$0.04
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · No0.9880.995$1.01+$0.01
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9750.980$1.00+$0.00
Will Islam Makhachev fight Carlos Prates next? · Yes0.9000.900$1.00+$0.00
Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9800.978$1.00−$0.00
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9770.969$0.99−$0.01
Will Sui reach $3.00 before 2027? · No0.9870.909$0.92−$0.08
Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes0.6200.495$0.80−$0.20
Will AVAX reach $16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.570$0.73−$0.27
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0260.017$0.65−$0.35
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.4860.204$0.42−$0.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down0.8710.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 14:22Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.893$0.96
09-19 06:26Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5699999886$9.00
09-13 19:27Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?BUY0.3049267388$706.23
09-13 19:26Bills vs. TexansSELL0.4$754.15
09-13 05:17Bills vs. TexansBUY0.48$904.98
09-13 05:16Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.987$3.03
09-12 16:39Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.9983210525$900.00
09-09 17:43Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.991$700.00
09-09 17:43Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.991$100.00
09-09 17:42Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.991$100.00
09-09 04:46US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-09 04:34T20 Asia Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs PakistanBUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-09 04:27Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BBUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-08 13:19Will LAPTOP launch on Solana?BUY0.99814603$900.00
09-08 13:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.9799991964$1.00