PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1b3eb4c1c39b06eeca5f59fc0bc4e392fdc416a4

Realised P&L
$92.50
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$33.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 14:35Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1689999934$20.00
08-17 04:22Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election?BUY0.0383703704$1.04
08-14 07:22Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?BUY0.0528813559$1.56
06-25 12:54Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?SELL0.48$16.25
06-10 12:30Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?SELL0.3293169957$14.51
04-26 07:42Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?BUY0.2325353997$10.00
04-24 05:45Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.003$1.70
04-22 05:56Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0088408645$5.00
04-16 07:47Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.163$12.54
03-30 08:08Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.2639270309$20.00
03-24 00:13Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?BUY0.29999997$5.00
03-22 07:52Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?SELL0.21$11.67
03-06 14:51US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
02-24 12:22Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.742219707$101.31
02-15 02:48Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?BUY0.0899999845$5.00