0x1B2f0295B46D8563A8111177079c98ccd298bD12-1783170681669
0x1b2f0295b46d8563a8111177079c98ccd298bd12
- Realised P&L
- $-5.08
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $2.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.670 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.067 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 420m? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.02at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$-0.08at 0.552Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?
- +$-0.18at 0.035Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$-0.30at 0.020Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$-0.34at 0.300Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 18:41 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 18:40 | Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.72 |
| 08-08 11:15 | Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 11:10 | Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.91 |
| 08-05 13:51 | Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 01:40 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 420m? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 01:39 | Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.96 |
| 07-31 20:55 | Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.0182692125 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 20:54 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.79 |
| 07-27 13:45 | Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 13:32 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.01 |
| 07-23 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9799991572 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 14:14 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.0621957536 | $1.00 |