0x1B2f0295B46D8563A8111177079c98ccd298bD12-1783170681669
0x1b2f0295b46d8563a8111177079c98ccd298bd12
- Realised P&L
- $-3.65
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $0.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.036 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 420m? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.01at 0.980Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$-0.04at 0.540Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?
- +$-0.21at 0.019Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$-2.00at 0.029Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:40 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 420m? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 01:39 | Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.96 |
| 07-31 20:55 | Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.0182692125 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 20:54 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.79 |
| 07-27 13:45 | Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 13:32 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.01 |
| 07-23 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9799991572 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 14:14 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.0621957536 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 14:11 | Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |