tianqizhizi
0x1b248ddfb4465730fcc9453e70dcb4e76668f8a1
- Realised P&L
- $112.83
- Volume
- $47.5k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $64.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.41at 0.757Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?
- +$45.00at 0.910WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
- +$36.34at 0.913S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 22?
- +$33.20at 0.920Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?
- +$32.88at 0.933SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:29 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.68 |
| 10-01 04:27 | Will Trump say "Ford" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 09-29 09:16 | Will the announcers say "Nasty" during Tsarukyan vs Ruffy? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 01:35 | Will the announcers say "Nasty" during Tsarukyan vs Ruffy? | BUY | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 09-22 03:27 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony? | BUY | 0.049 | $1.27 |
| 09-22 01:53 | Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 21? | SELL | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 06-05 11:30 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5? | SELL | 0.4802429897 | $98.82 |
| 06-04 16:28 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 4? | SELL | 0.22 | $66.00 |
| 06-04 10:25 | Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.174 | $36.91 |
| 06-04 05:50 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 06-04 04:58 | Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.238 | $1.19 |
| 06-04 00:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.2613256333 | $78.40 |
| 06-04 00:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.7036286084 | $87.02 |
| 06-04 00:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.8238592628 | $430.26 |
| 06-03 17:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? | BUY | 0.989 | $336.20 |