tgtg7gy
0x1b168e99b87f81c3f6cad1917a4695c6a3a2f48d
- Realised P&L
- $-207.44
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $36.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.155 | $19.54 | −$38.46 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.450 | 0.455 | $10.46 | +$0.12 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.986 | 0.987 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.566 | 0.468 | $1.65 | −$0.35 |
| New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Suns vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$137.56 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Washington Nationals | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.18 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.04 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans · Grizzlies | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$163.00 |
| Sabres vs. Devils · Devils | 0.486 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Senators vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| MLB All-Star Game · National League | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.25 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$243.56at 0.360Clippers vs. Nuggets
- +$216.67at 0.480Kings vs. Blue Jackets
- +$135.31at 0.49076ers vs. Suns
- +$129.56at 0.450Sabres vs. Canadiens
- +$127.35at 0.520Lakers vs. Bulls
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:21 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.45 | $10.35 |
| 10-03 09:28 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.45 | $11.70 |
| 10-02 07:36 | Cowboys vs. Texans | BUY | 0.6 | $13.80 |
| 10-01 09:01 | Titans vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.36 | $45.39 |
| 09-30 06:49 | UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-29 06:30 | Montana State vs. Idaho | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-28 10:56 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 09-27 06:09 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $8.00 |
| 09-26 06:01 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.61 | $8.94 |
| 09-26 05:50 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-25 06:47 | New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.47 | $10.34 |
| 09-24 08:20 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6299999807 | $9.78 |
| 09-24 08:20 | Houston Astros vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.39 | $6.24 |
| 09-23 09:05 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.6 | $14.40 |