0x1ae6b22919f27567967cfbe2274889477fb82fc1
0x1ae6b22919f27567967cfbe2274889477fb82fc1
- Realised P&L
- $-56.37
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $479.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.83at 0.370Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$1.94at 0.450Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$0.49at 0.410Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$0.26at 0.760Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$-0.87at 0.626Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-21 00:49 | Will BP be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.57 | $8.83 |
| 02-21 00:12 | Will BP be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.6261290323 | $9.71 |
| 02-21 00:09 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $8.91 |
| 02-20 23:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | SELL | 0.8279491256 | $10.42 |
| 02-20 18:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.37 |
| 02-20 18:09 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.41 | $6.89 |
| 02-20 18:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $8.07 |
| 02-20 18:00 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.39 | $8.19 |
| 02-20 17:55 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.4229299363 | $9.30 |
| 02-20 17:39 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.76 | $9.68 |
| 02-20 17:17 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $10.13 |
| 02-20 17:16 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.43 | $10.62 |
| 02-20 16:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.07 |
| 02-20 16:52 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.81 | $10.72 |
| 02-20 16:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $10.11 |