PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1ae6b22919f27567967cfbe2274889477fb82fc1

0x1ae6b22919f27567967cfbe2274889477fb82fc1

Realised P&L
$-56.37
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$479.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.2701.000$74.78+$54.59
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · No0.7851.000$51.12+$10.99
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes0.4701.000$43.02+$22.80
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$38.84−$1.55
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.5801.000$34.18+$14.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2800.885$31.60+$21.60
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.6501.000$31.00+$10.85
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7081.000$28.26+$8.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3800.915$24.40+$14.27
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7590.817$21.53+$1.52
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$19.42−$0.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.963$18.70+$8.60
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · No0.6101.000$16.39+$6.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No0.7821.000$13.25+$2.89
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · No0.8001.000$12.58+$2.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-21 00:49Will BP be acquired before 2027?SELL0.57$8.83
02-21 00:12Will BP be acquired before 2027?BUY0.6261290323$9.71
02-21 00:09US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?SELL0.45$8.91
02-20 23:43Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?SELL0.8279491256$10.42
02-20 18:10Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$8.37
02-20 18:09Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL0.41$6.89
02-20 18:05Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$8.07
02-20 18:00Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL0.39$8.19
02-20 17:55Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.4229299363$9.30
02-20 17:39Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.76$9.68
02-20 17:17Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.39$10.13
02-20 17:16Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.43$10.62
02-20 16:53Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.27$8.07
02-20 16:52Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL0.81$10.72
02-20 16:40Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.47$10.11