HockeyMan17
0x1ad5cc6fe6b9f3eeed30dcc7ed5650d54961cb71
- Realised P&L
- $-53.77
- Volume
- $66.6k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $30.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.435 | $14.50 | −$5.50 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.055 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.265 | $3.35 | −$6.65 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $2.75 | −$2.25 |
| Will Brad Pitt be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.066 | $1.39 | −$8.61 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $1.05 | −$18.95 |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.92 | −$9.08 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.025 | $0.75 | −$2.25 |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.42 | −$4.58 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$4.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.71at 0.043Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
- +$92.14at 0.679Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
- +$50.36at 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$37.76at 0.726Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$26.08at 0.124Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 12:16 | Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 20:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999659 | $4.00 |
| 08-06 20:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.2857142857 | $4.00 |
| 07-15 16:13 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4669999884 | $15.00 |
| 07-13 17:33 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 17:33 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 17:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 17:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.10731705 | $4.00 |
| 07-12 16:17 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.1996218487 | $4.75 |
| 07-10 19:01 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5974999636 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 20:15 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $138.60 |
| 07-06 16:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999748 | $4.00 |
| 07-06 16:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 07-05 17:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 17:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |