0x1acd7dcb80326315596d76d24fe5b28523abf535
- Realised P&L
- $-30.70
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $70.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.45at 0.080Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
- +$9.31at 0.180Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
- +$5.42at 0.090Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?
- +$4.56at 0.070Will Netherlands win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.81at 0.163Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:10 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 20:37 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.11 |
| 08-02 20:37 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.157 | $0.11 |
| 08-02 08:28 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3299999312 | $1.92 |
| 08-02 08:27 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.142 | $0.29 |
| 08-02 01:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 01:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.00 |
| 08-02 01:10 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.02 |
| 08-01 23:33 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 08:25 | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.066 | $0.14 |
| 07-31 06:59 | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.067 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 06:01 | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.068 | $0.00 |
| 07-30 23:58 | Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.1368687744 | $1.92 |
| 07-30 23:57 | Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.132999942 | $1.92 |
| 07-30 23:57 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.16 |