0x1acd7dcb80326315596d76d24fe5b28523abf535
- Realised P&L
- $-21.12
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $77.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.84at 0.063Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
- +$14.73at 0.073Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
- +$9.82at 0.013Will Steve Rance be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
- +$9.09at 0.083Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
- +$8.99at 0.186Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4099999408 | $1.94 |
| 09-17 04:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4099999408 | $1.94 |
| 09-17 03:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4099999408 | $1.94 |
| 09-17 03:51 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4099999408 | $1.94 |
| 09-17 03:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4099999408 | $1.94 |
| 09-16 03:16 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.91 |
| 09-16 03:11 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.066 | $0.63 |
| 09-15 02:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2419999882 | $1.93 |
| 09-07 23:54 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1029999949 | $1.93 |
| 09-03 02:40 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0029999984 | $1.91 |
| 09-03 02:38 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999254 | $1.93 |
| 09-03 02:37 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999254 | $1.93 |
| 08-29 03:01 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799998903 | $1.94 |
| 08-27 01:57 | Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.2769999333 | $1.92 |
| 08-25 02:21 | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.93 |