0x1AcA7f594dd92F55112b721942Fd652fec9C938e-1773633011354
0x1aca7f594dd92f55112b721942fd652fec9c938e
- Realised P&L
- $-0.50
- Volume
- $54.27
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $10.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.435 | $2.46 | −$0.54 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.935 | $1.93 | +$0.63 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.968 | 0.967 | $1.64 | −$0.00 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.974 | 0.978 | $1.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.444 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.831 | 0.841 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.295 | $0.90 | −$0.50 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.77at 0.570Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?
- +$0.03at 0.983Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.997Trump out as President by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 06:49 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | BUY | 0.4599998883 | $1.40 |
| 10-15 02:08 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999292 | $1.64 |
| 10-08 06:42 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.974 | $1.20 |
| 09-24 02:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699998351 | $1.30 |
| 09-18 06:49 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 06:15 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8309998787 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 05:55 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4119998368 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 05:46 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 03:15 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998401 | $1.30 |
| 05-09 06:55 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999951 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 06:29 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599998703 | $5.33 |
| 03-25 06:49 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $5.26 |
| 03-25 06:49 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $5.26 |