0x1A7bFDECD05f5D675e42F0c482017FE2B055f4f7-1772133605104
0x1a7bfdecd05f5d675e42f0c482017fe2b055f4f7
- Realised P&L
- $-39.39
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $72.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.215 | $35.83 | +$0.83 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.115 | $11.50 | −$8.50 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.072 | $9.24 | −$26.76 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.038 | $8.60 | −$11.40 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.021 | $7.02 | −$12.98 |
| Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.27at 0.188Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$90.00at 0.100Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$48.82at 0.170Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$43.50at 0.400US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
- +$37.62at 0.210Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 16:14 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $29.00 |
| 07-15 22:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999961 | $35.00 |
| 07-01 14:21 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 11:18 | Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0649999886 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 16:05 | Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 16:05 | Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 16:04 | Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 16:04 | Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 16:04 | Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 16:26 | Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 16:26 | Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 16:26 | Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 16:26 | Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 16:26 | Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 09:41 | Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |