PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1A7bFDECD05f5D675e42F0c482017FE2B055f4f7-1772133605104

0x1a7bfdecd05f5d675e42f0c482017fe2b055f4f7

Realised P&L
$-39.39
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$72.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2100.215$35.83+$0.83
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2000.115$11.50$8.50
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2820.072$9.24$26.76
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0880.038$8.60$11.40
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0610.021$7.02$12.98
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$5.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$10.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 16:14US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?BUY0.4$29.00
07-15 22:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2099999961$35.00
07-01 14:21United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-28 11:18Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0649999886$5.00
06-27 16:05Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY0.4699999915$10.00
06-27 16:05Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.1$10.00
06-27 16:04Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.25$10.00
06-27 16:04Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
06-27 16:04Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
06-26 16:26Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
06-26 16:26Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
06-26 16:26Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
06-26 16:26Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
06-26 16:26Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.2$10.00
06-25 09:41Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?BUY0.4299999931$10.00