0x1a7bfdecd05f5d675e42f0c482017fe2b055f4f7
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $54.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.175 | $29.17 | −$5.83 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.065 | $7.22 | −$2.78 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.044 | $5.67 | −$30.33 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.021 | $4.75 | −$15.25 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.045 | $4.50 | −$15.50 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.009 | $2.79 | −$17.21 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov · Denis Shapovalov | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.27at 0.188Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$89.73at 0.103Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$48.57at 0.174Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$43.50at 0.400US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
- +$37.38at 0.215Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 14:56 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2819286684 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 08:52 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 20:50 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 16:14 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $29.00 |
| 07-15 22:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999961 | $35.00 |
| 07-01 14:21 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 11:18 | Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0649999886 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 16:05 | Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 16:05 | Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 16:04 | Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 16:04 | Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 16:04 | Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 16:26 | Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 16:26 | Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 16:26 | Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |