PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1A67A3081D85a7ed23954E9f1267eB38a981bB7E-1769451711691

0x1a67a3081d85a7ed23954e9f1267eb38a981bb7e

Realised P&L
$-82.62
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$136.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4490.425$47.33$2.67
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3790.315$41.55$8.45
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.097$19.30+$9.30
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? · Yes0.5401.000$18.52+$8.52
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.0450.041$8.88$1.12
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.017$1.06$3.94
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$10.00
F1: Will Max Verstappen Announce Move to New Team on July 6, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2880.000$0.00$12.77
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? · No0.2940.000$0.00$10.00
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5) · DR Congo0.0970.000$0.00$1.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00$10.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 22:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.42$7.77
07-14 20:23Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1939999753$5.00
07-06 21:51F1: Will Max Verstappen Announce Move to New Team on July 6, 2026?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
07-01 17:31Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)BUY0.0969999157$1.00
06-28 16:26Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?BUY0.0455867055$10.00
06-28 16:20Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
06-28 16:19Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?BUY0.4799999808$5.00
06-28 16:17Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?BUY0.2944942238$10.00
05-18 18:21Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1669999875$10.00
05-18 18:21Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1819999882$10.00
05-18 18:18Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$5.00
05-18 18:16Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0829999929$10.00
05-18 18:15Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0349999993$50.00
04-08 01:58Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.379056904$50.00
03-12 15:37Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?BUY0.5399999903$10.00