PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

post2

0x1a6557f2cc9bc9012c0e43022d39140b48f74cb9

Realised P&L
$-6.82
Volume
$58.7k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$39.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.990$7.92+$0.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.990$6.75+$0.75
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9590.973$6.08+$0.08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9721.000$4.12+$0.12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9300.925$3.98−$0.02
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.9300.972$2.09+$0.09
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.9200.935$2.03+$0.03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4400.875$1.99+$0.99
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.855$1.82−$0.18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8700.845$0.97−$0.03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7300.705$0.97−$0.03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5200.405$0.78−$0.22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 08:46Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$2.00
09-19 08:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-19 08:44Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
09-19 08:43Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-19 08:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-19 08:42Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.9199995952$2.00
08-22 07:51Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.961$11.33
08-22 07:50Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9589998651$6.00
08-22 07:50Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.9299998093$4.00
08-22 07:49Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.9719998299$4.00
08-22 07:49Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.8409999193$1.00
08-22 07:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7$1.00
07-02 09:00Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.91$4.00
07-02 09:00Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9051842639$5.00
07-02 09:00Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.91$5.00