post2
0x1a6557f2cc9bc9012c0e43022d39140b48f74cb9
- Realised P&L
- $-6.82
- Volume
- $58.7k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $39.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.01at 0.007Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.60at 0.893Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$0.80at 0.920Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$0.80at 0.920Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$0.77at 0.567Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:46 | Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 08:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 08:44 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 08:43 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 08:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 08:42 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 07:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $11.33 |
| 08-22 07:50 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9589998651 | $6.00 |
| 08-22 07:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9299998093 | $4.00 |
| 08-22 07:49 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9719998299 | $4.00 |
| 08-22 07:49 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8409999193 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 07:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 09:00 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.00 |
| 07-02 09:00 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9051842639 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 09:00 | Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |