klemc
0x1a06c74880f2d944bb02cf37c531a9f41bdfd5bf
- Realised P&L
- $-112.86
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $99.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.939 | 0.953 | $44.77 | +$0.63 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · No | 0.620 | 0.595 | $23.80 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.620 | $17.98 | +$0.00 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? · No | 0.640 | 0.966 | $11.59 | +$3.91 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.600 | $1.80 | +$0.15 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.00 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 14? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.70 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 19? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.80at 0.634Slovenia vs. Hungary
- +$14.49at 0.670US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$6.69at 0.339Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?
- +$5.50at 0.890US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
- +$5.04at 0.580Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 17:17 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? | SELL | 0.62 | $7.44 |
| 10-20 17:16 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | SELL | 0.63 | $63.63 |
| 10-20 05:08 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | BUY | 0.63 | $40.95 |
| 10-20 04:14 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27? | SELL | 0.73 | $10.95 |
| 10-20 00:10 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-19 17:58 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $34.83 |
| 10-19 17:58 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | SELL | 0.668 | $16.70 |
| 10-19 17:21 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | SELL | 0.66 | $8.82 |
| 10-16 22:16 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | BUY | 0.41 | $7.38 |
| 10-16 20:13 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.75 | $18.75 |
| 10-16 20:05 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $6.60 |
| 10-16 20:05 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27? | BUY | 0.58 | $8.70 |
| 10-16 20:05 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | BUY | 0.57 | $10.26 |
| 10-16 20:04 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | BUY | 0.55 | $18.15 |
| 10-14 16:48 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.939 | $44.13 |