plathong9198
0x19d038a6986aa146182ed6ce08fda2fff10d4e03
- Realised P&L
- $-230.48
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $94.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No | 0.310 | 0.455 | $68.25 | +$21.75 |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.055 | $25.85 | −$63.00 |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.70 | −$4.91 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.24at 0.915Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$3.09at 0.970Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
- +$3.03at 0.990US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$-0.10at 0.05610.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- +$-0.40at 0.005Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 14:23 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0841196483 | $44.01 |
| 03-31 18:02 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9899999968 | $300.00 |
| 03-31 17:44 | Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.19 | $80.69 |
| 03-31 17:43 | Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.18 | $8.16 |
| 03-28 18:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $99.96 |
| 03-28 18:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9154228853 | $99.70 |
| 03-21 12:47 | Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.61 |
| 03-19 15:42 | Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.60 |
| 03-18 08:24 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $97.25 |
| 03-18 08:21 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $23.55 |
| 03-18 08:21 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 03-18 08:17 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | BUY | 0.15 | $94.48 |
| 03-18 08:15 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | BUY | 0.15 | $18.31 |
| 03-18 08:00 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.055 | $3.34 |
| 03-17 10:50 | Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |