PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x19aF1E2d0289cdbD0cbf0922D70d11B2D65Edd83-1746801833868

0x19af1e2d0289cdbd0cbf0922d70d11b2d65edd83

Realised P&L
$-424.35
Volume
$62.5k
Markets traded
304
Open portfolio
$15.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded304
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.1500.225$15.00+$5.00
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.1000.008$0.32$3.68
Will Trump say "Fake News" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.0900.005$0.22$3.78
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.3600.004$0.02$1.98
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.0450.001$0.02$1.48
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 27 ET? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$40.00
Will Trump say "Gaza Strip" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 26 ET? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$8.00
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the DC Crime Press Conference? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$10.83
Will Elon tweet 420–449 times August 8–August 15? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$30.62
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$3.89
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 20:46Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
09-23 17:38Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.0450621064$1.50
09-23 17:38Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.1$4.00
09-23 17:37Will Trump say "Fake News" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.0899999989$4.00
09-23 17:37Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
09-23 06:49Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.175$9.41
09-22 07:15Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1859999995$10.00
09-22 07:14Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.3124349882$4.13
09-21 14:48Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.291172495$24.73
09-17 14:36Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1285636653$10.92
06-07 14:51Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?BUY0.2092716042$17.00
03-15 06:50Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?BUY0.0999023561$62.37
12-19 07:29Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?BUY0.3439999868$10.46
12-16 13:46Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?BUY0.9549999995$9.99
12-13 06:52Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?BUY0.1499999972$40.00