PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1995615e11F2F4F0120b2185b37376EAdeAd0dE9-1772677069232

0x1995615e11f2f4f0120b2185b37376eadead0de9

Realised P&L
$-163.58
Volume
$9.8k
Markets traded
580
Open portfolio
$37.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded580
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · No0.6900.977$5.86+$1.72
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? · Yes0.3700.805$5.63+$3.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.968$4.84+$1.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4400.935$4.67+$2.48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1890.912$4.56+$3.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.905$4.53+$3.08
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.5900.800$4.00+$1.05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4600.625$3.13+$0.82
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25−$0.75
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election? · Yes0.4000.050$0.25−$1.75
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2300.045$0.22−$0.92
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet · Corentin Moutet0.6100.000$0.00−$3.05
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins · Atlanta Braves0.5000.000$0.00−$2.50
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm · Seattle Storm0.2700.000$0.00−$1.35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 21:14CA Penarol Montevideo vs. CA Boston River: O/U 1.5BUY0.76$3.80
09-14 09:56Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$4.70
09-07 17:36Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.5$4.00
09-07 15:34Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.48$3.36
09-07 15:33Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5BUY0.5$4.00
09-07 15:22Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5BUY0.54$3.78
09-07 15:20Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.38$4.18
09-07 15:20Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5BUY0.5$4.00
09-07 12:29Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSELL0.47$3.05
09-07 12:25Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.48$3.11
09-06 20:46LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.44$3.96
09-06 20:14LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.26$2.86
09-06 20:02LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonBUY0.35$3.85
09-06 14:01LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsBUY0.52$4.16
09-06 07:51LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBUY0.44$3.96