Ale8cc
0x1994a0262b87fb5401967b027f76dfd5c42ab4e5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $140.4k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $273.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.327Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.075Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
- +$868.00at 0.332Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$513.04at 0.337US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
- +$509.00at 0.152Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 17:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 17:35 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $10.20 |
| 10-28 04:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 10-26 20:11 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.251 | $25.67 |
| 10-26 20:04 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0729999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 16:30 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.305 | $15.56 |
| 10-26 15:46 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.322 | $16.43 |
| 10-26 01:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 10-26 01:04 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 23:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.113 | $3.39 |
| 10-25 23:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 10-25 22:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1979999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 20:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6819999813 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 20:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7189999918 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 17:21 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1499999981 | $4.00 |