Ale8cc
0x1994a0262b87fb5401967b027f76dfd5c42ab4e5
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $126.9k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$868.00at 0.332Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$513.04at 0.337US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
- +$509.00at 0.152Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$356.17at 0.360US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
- +$324.00at 0.190US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:22 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.97 |
| 09-15 20:54 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $23.92 |
| 09-12 23:45 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 18:57 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.90 |
| 09-12 18:56 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $7.00 |
| 09-10 18:30 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.21 |
| 09-10 02:00 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.99 |
| 09-09 16:19 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 12:11 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 09-08 17:36 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 09-07 19:32 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | SELL | 0.1196275 | $9.57 |
| 09-05 21:44 | UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.21 | $4.37 |
| 09-04 15:53 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.025 | $78.73 |
| 08-31 01:12 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $4.20 |
| 08-27 01:14 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |