PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Monsterboy4ik

0x1990b3489742acd1712798a93f66b1f18b07ab66

Realised P&L
$-48.17
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$94.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6700.715$43.62+$2.75
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · Yes0.1200.245$20.34+$10.38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.705$12.69+$0.63
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? · Yes0.2430.240$10.51−$0.14
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.1090.105$7.39−$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:42Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?BUY0.2431506849$10.65
10-31 18:40Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.71$10.65
10-31 12:09Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1089999992$7.67
10-31 12:08Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.94$7.52
10-23 14:27Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?BUY0.12$9.96
10-23 14:25Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.67$10.05
10-23 09:40Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?BUY0.063$5.59
10-23 09:39Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.67$12.73
10-23 09:31Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.037$12.02
10-23 09:29Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.67$12.06
10-23 08:11Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$7.44
10-23 07:54Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.772$12.35
10-23 07:39Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.67$12.06
10-22 20:29Cavaliers vs. 76ersBUY0.5699999967$10.41
10-22 20:28Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.68$10.20