Monsterboy4ik
0x1990b3489742acd1712798a93f66b1f18b07ab66
- Realised P&L
- $-48.17
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $94.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.715 | $43.62 | +$2.75 |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.245 | $20.34 | +$10.38 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.705 | $12.69 | +$0.63 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.240 | $10.51 | −$0.14 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.105 | $7.39 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.74at 0.164Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$34.83at 0.586Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?
- +$27.78at 0.206Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
- +$25.28at 0.597Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$11.06at 0.210Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:42 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2431506849 | $10.65 |
| 10-31 18:40 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.71 | $10.65 |
| 10-31 12:09 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1089999992 | $7.67 |
| 10-31 12:08 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 10-23 14:27 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.96 |
| 10-23 14:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $10.05 |
| 10-23 09:40 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | BUY | 0.063 | $5.59 |
| 10-23 09:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $12.73 |
| 10-23 09:31 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $12.02 |
| 10-23 09:29 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $12.06 |
| 10-23 08:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 10-23 07:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.772 | $12.35 |
| 10-23 07:39 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $12.06 |
| 10-22 20:29 | Cavaliers vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $10.41 |
| 10-22 20:28 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.68 | $10.20 |