PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

amnesyac

0x1980a727fa2269380263ed57255ac3005674d5aa

Realised P&L
$-18.58
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$944.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.645$145.50−$1.13
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.8000.815$101.88+$1.88
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Petr Yan0.6000.605$100.83+$0.83
UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) · Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev0.8010.805$100.53+$0.53
UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alexander Volkov0.5400.535$99.07−$0.93
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) · Movsar Evloev0.5100.505$99.02−$0.98
UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) · Abubakar Vagaev0.6700.615$91.79−$8.21
O/U 4.5 Rounds · Over0.9000.750$75.00−$15.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · No0.4100.455$55.51+$5.49
UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims) · Aaron Pico0.5100.525$51.47+$1.47
O/U 4.5 Rounds · Over0.9260.710$14.57−$4.43
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7920.770$9.73−$0.27
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:29Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.65$146.63
10-20 07:00Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?BUY0.25$10.00
10-20 06:58Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?SELL0.7889633019$89.65
10-19 21:19Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?BUY0.8799999996$100.00
10-19 10:52Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.8$100.00
10-19 06:28Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.41$50.02
10-18 21:28Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?BUY0.8499999915$10.00
10-18 21:27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7919999899$10.00
10-18 21:05UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)BUY0.5099999984$50.00
10-18 21:05UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5399999976$100.00
10-18 21:04UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.5099999984$100.00
10-18 21:04UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.5999999988$100.00
10-18 21:01UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.6699999993$100.00
10-18 20:59UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.8007695283$100.00
10-18 20:53O/U 4.5 RoundsBUY0.9510882849$10.00