PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x191E3DFE3Ca8BeB1FF8415550db9e1B9F5E96D52-1775935922569

0x191e3dfe3ca8beb1ff8415550db9e1b9f5e96d52

Realised P&L
$-568.21
Volume
$37.1k
Markets traded
215
Open portfolio
$204.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded215
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.9490.959$74.78+$0.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · Yes0.4700.515$54.72+$4.72
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No0.6900.725$32.57+$1.57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? · No0.7700.865$11.23+$1.23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.175$10.29+$0.29
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.2000.185$9.25−$0.75
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.065$8.13−$6.88
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3700.285$3.85−$1.15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.3650.000$0.00−$30.01
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 · No0.8300.000$0.00−$100.00
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$366.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 09:19US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.9479999989$20.00
11-01 09:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.61$10.52
11-01 09:18US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.5$10.20
11-01 09:17US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.9487043132$54.00
11-01 09:16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999983$10.00
10-31 17:09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$63.75
10-31 15:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.6899999882$31.00
10-31 15:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?BUY0.7699999992$10.00
10-31 15:09Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?BUY0.2$10.00
10-31 15:09Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5799999768$10.00
10-31 15:05NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.996$4.37
10-31 15:05Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.983$31.70
10-16 18:11Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3699999867$5.00
10-16 18:10US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.4899999824$10.00
10-16 18:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?BUY0.4705882353$50.00