0x191E3DFE3Ca8BeB1FF8415550db9e1B9F5E96D52-1775935922569
0x191e3dfe3ca8beb1ff8415550db9e1b9f5e96d52
- Realised P&L
- $-568.21
- Volume
- $37.1k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $204.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.79at 0.608US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$64.97at 0.787US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$47.32at 0.185US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$47.15at 0.107Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
- +$36.45at 0.343Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:19 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.9479999989 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 09:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.61 | $10.52 |
| 11-01 09:18 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.20 |
| 11-01 09:17 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.9487043132 | $54.00 |
| 11-01 09:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 17:09 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $63.75 |
| 10-31 15:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999882 | $31.00 |
| 10-31 15:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 15:09 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 15:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 15:05 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $4.37 |
| 10-31 15:05 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $31.70 |
| 10-16 18:11 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 18:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 18:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4705882353 | $50.00 |