0x191c0ebc198ef4e14bded9be50e73b5f1804ba7d
- Realised P&L
- $4.46
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $185.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.20at 0.034Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$7.33at 0.645Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$7.17at 0.351Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$6.79at 0.429Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
- +$6.08at 0.610France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:07 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0729999998 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 21:05 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 21:05 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 21:03 | Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? | BUY | 0.1872659176 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 21:02 | Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? | BUY | 0.1094736828 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 20:18 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.67 |
| 09-12 15:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.037 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 18:34 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.070603767 | $79.73 |
| 09-10 06:53 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 22:00 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.351 | $4.85 |
| 09-09 21:52 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0459999999 | $4.00 |
| 09-09 21:52 | Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? | SELL | 0.0814713896 | $3.59 |
| 09-08 05:55 | Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 19:59 | Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 19:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $6.85 |