0x1912faDfBf26FC95067B0b959a128D52F1725Dc7-1786116291131
0x1912fadfbf26fc95067b0b959a128d52f1725dc7
- Realised P&L
- $-40.45
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $15.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.67at 0.220Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$12.96at 0.280Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
- +$12.48at 0.019Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
- +$2.96at 0.629Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
- +$2.52at 0.639Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 00:09 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 10-19 14:58 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.646 | $4.52 |
| 10-19 06:59 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.01 | $1.20 |
| 10-18 21:08 | Fort Worth: James Kent Trotter vs Gavin Young | BUY | 0.01 | $1.20 |
| 10-10 09:41 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov | BUY | 0.015 | $0.30 |
| 10-10 09:05 | Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 10-08 22:40 | LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $1.20 |
| 10-07 12:07 | Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | SELL | 0.2164913636 | $14.29 |
| 10-07 11:54 | Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | BUY | 0.018 | $1.19 |
| 10-07 00:12 | Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.30 |
| 10-06 22:10 | Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.07 |
| 10-06 00:04 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.66 | $4.62 |
| 10-06 00:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.65 | $4.55 |
| 10-03 00:06 | Spread: Burkina Faso (-5.5) | BUY | 0.012 | $1.10 |
| 09-29 00:01 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.61 | $4.88 |