PolyBot

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Traders

0x1912faDfBf26FC95067B0b959a128D52F1725Dc7-1786116291131

0x1912fadfbf26fc95067b0b959a128d52f1725dc7

Realised P&L
$-40.45
Volume
$20.9k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$15.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6600.715$5.00+$0.39
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6200.605$4.84−$0.12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6500.650$4.55+$0.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes0.0100.005$0.60−$0.60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0180.001$0.03−$1.16
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.0180.001$0.03−$1.16
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.19
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$4.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs · PARIVISION0.0100.000$0.00−$1.20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$1.32
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$4.88
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.20
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$5.16
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 00:09Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.62$4.96
10-19 14:58Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.646$4.52
10-19 06:59Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.01$1.20
10-18 21:08Fort Worth: James Kent Trotter vs Gavin YoungBUY0.01$1.20
10-10 09:41Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Pavel KotovBUY0.015$0.30
10-10 09:05Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?BUY0.62$4.96
10-08 22:40LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.01$1.20
10-07 12:07Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana SelekhmetevaSELL0.2164913636$14.29
10-07 11:54Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana SelekhmetevaBUY0.018$1.19
10-07 00:12Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?SELL0.061$0.30
10-06 22:10Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?BUY0.014$0.07
10-06 00:04Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.66$4.62
10-06 00:02Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.65$4.55
10-03 00:06Spread: Burkina Faso (-5.5)BUY0.012$1.10
09-29 00:01Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.61$4.88