konkuru
0x1905609a2fe16457c7b06e415a6fb1d9b46a4544
- Realised P&L
- $-64.28
- Volume
- $678.94
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $278.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.713 | 0.670 | $248.57 | −$15.83 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.579 | 0.431 | $15.09 | −$5.18 |
| Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.725 | $14.50 | −$1.10 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.21 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.16 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.74 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.583 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.93 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.78at 0.222Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.97at 0.502Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$4.31at 0.718Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$2.18at 0.782Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 14:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $26.10 |
| 09-07 06:33 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.579 | $5.79 |
| 09-04 09:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 09-04 09:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 09-04 09:41 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $168.70 |
| 09-04 09:40 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 08-01 09:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.93 |
| 08-01 09:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 08-01 09:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 07-28 13:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.765 | $7.65 |
| 07-14 05:17 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.21 |
| 07-14 05:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.212 | $2.12 |
| 07-14 05:16 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.216 | $2.16 |
| 07-14 05:16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.174 | $1.74 |
| 07-10 07:54 | Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |