PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x49d6170FeF752eFb88B7a11e1F1320A5708170F1-1762543226752

0x19026ff5b4e4fc62fc2c8b968bcb0cba95aca0ac

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$55.3k
Markets traded
408
Open portfolio
$5.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded408
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$3.87−$3.86
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0010.004$1.11+$0.79
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.2900.175$0.88−$0.57
Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet · Fabian Marozsan0.0800.000$0.00−$1.60
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5980.000$0.00−$2.00
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.0710.000$0.00−$12.25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$3.00
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$4.30
Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$3.24
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.26
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$42.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 04:56Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.29$1.45
09-29 19:11Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.0329999998$4.00
09-29 14:54Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.2099999922$4.86
09-29 14:50Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.2199999941$3.00
09-29 14:48Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5979999294$2.00
09-29 01:16NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.71$4.05
09-28 23:08Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.236$3.07
09-27 07:07Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.0758232567$3.00
09-27 07:04LoL: Solary vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.06$1.80
09-27 06:59Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.081$3.24
09-25 19:16Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 25?SELL0.001$0.01
09-25 18:27Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.0899999981$3.70
09-25 17:40Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.254$3.30
09-25 07:21Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.005$0.83
09-25 07:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5539999954$6.00