0x49d6170FeF752eFb88B7a11e1F1320A5708170F1-1762543226752
0x19026ff5b4e4fc62fc2c8b968bcb0cba95aca0ac
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $55.3k
- Markets traded
- 408
- Open portfolio
- $5.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded408
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.38at 0.379Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$29.53at 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$29.04at 0.552Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$23.90at 0.628Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$22.52at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 04:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-29 19:11 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.0329999998 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 14:54 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $4.86 |
| 09-29 14:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2199999941 | $3.00 |
| 09-29 14:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5979999294 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 01:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $4.05 |
| 09-28 23:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.236 | $3.07 |
| 09-27 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.0758232567 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 07:04 | LoL: Solary vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 09-27 06:59 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.081 | $3.24 |
| 09-25 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-25 18:27 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999981 | $3.70 |
| 09-25 17:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.254 | $3.30 |
| 09-25 07:21 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.83 |
| 09-25 07:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5539999954 | $6.00 |