GodsGrace
0x18f2844ca2e3b610b253d5b2f4b07d96e9276878
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $55.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $582.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.065 | $373.73 | −$506.48 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.045 | $200.20 | −$288.20 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.080 | $8.74 | −$12.35 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.28 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 17? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$460.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$201.77at 0.180Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
- +$106.66at 0.651Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$49.54at 0.640Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
- +$18.57at 0.350Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?
- +$18.25at 0.060Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:47 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 09-11 15:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $18.98 |
| 09-11 06:12 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 17? | BUY | 0.06 | $300.00 |
| 03-22 17:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.28 |
| 03-19 18:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $78.57 |
| 03-19 14:39 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0469277466 | $303.14 |
| 03-19 12:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $122.95 |
| 03-19 12:47 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.90 |
| 03-12 17:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.042999996 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 17:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.111 | $156.01 |
| 02-25 21:48 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1530889277 | $880.22 |
| 02-25 21:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0427929312 | $104.00 |
| 02-25 21:42 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0129999992 | $15.00 |
| 04-06 18:23 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | SELL | 0.5515682584 | $351.71 |
| 04-04 15:38 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.6199999908 | $65.00 |