PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x18e73e0e634d84eeea190eb32b6f58b87a7ffb43-1793291071311

0x18e73e0e634d84eeea190eb32b6f58b87a7ffb43

Realised P&L
$0.37
Volume
$95.33
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$30.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:13Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2?BUY0.8199999836$2.00
11-01 13:07Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 3?BUY0.439999956$2.00
11-01 12:43Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?SELL0.999$0.43
11-01 09:02Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?SELL0.999$7.52
11-01 00:19Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 31?SELL0.999$8.40
10-30 13:19Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1?BUY0.5899999145$2.00
10-30 11:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?BUY0.2509999839$2.00
10-29 23:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 31?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
10-28 18:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.7199999424$1.00