0x18e73e0e634d84eeea190eb32b6f58b87a7ffb43-1793291071311
0x18e73e0e634d84eeea190eb32b6f58b87a7ffb43
- Realised P&L
- $0.37
- Volume
- $95.33
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $30.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.90at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 31?
- +$5.96at 0.251Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?
- +$2.30at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 31?
- +$2.15at 0.570Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 31?
- +$0.37at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.43 |
| 11-01 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.52 |
| 11-01 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.40 |
| 10-30 13:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.2509999839 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |