PolyBot

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Traders

Guthix481

0x18da709442072c117380d5e2ce889776586e91c4

Realised P&L
$-183.81
Volume
$30.5k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$151.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes0.0860.056$129.66−$70.33
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0510.036$15.67−$6.33
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.034$4.53−$15.47
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.4700.055$1.17−$8.83
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$20.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 4? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$20.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24? · Up0.0700.000$0.00−$20.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 18:16Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0229999999$2.00
09-09 18:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.0544397201$30.00
09-03 10:56Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.149999994$20.00
09-03 10:48Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?BUY0.0605711541$25.00
09-02 19:27Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?BUY0.0692921104$45.00
09-02 17:11Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?BUY0.10018813$80.00
09-02 16:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.0285452598$20.00
09-02 15:58Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?BUY0.1099560158$50.00
08-04 16:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.05$10.00
08-04 16:25WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 4?BUY0.002$1.00
08-04 13:58Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?BUY0.0727272727$20.00
08-04 13:56Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.4705882353$10.00
07-24 14:53WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24?BUY0.0699999969$20.00
07-24 14:47Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.058404392$20.00
07-24 14:41Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.1899999939$20.00