PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x18cd2ad77ba031e83836d88c018244765c388013

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$629.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5190.775$293.64+$97.14
2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes0.0010.001$154.31−$255.22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1730.121$140.47−$59.53
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.035$37.59−$142.41
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3900.356$3.56−$0.34
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Storytime with the Second Lady Podcast? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00−$50.00
Will anyone say "Password" during Rick and Morty E7 S9? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Vance say "Economy" during Milwaukee remarks? · Yes0.6050.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the announcers say "Compact" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes0.4360.000$0.00−$900.00
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31? · Yes0.4070.000$0.00−$90.00
Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during press conference? · Yes0.4440.000$0.00−$110.00
Will Trump say "Trump" during press conference? · Yes0.6430.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No0.2750.000$0.00−$100.26
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 12:422026 Balance of Power: OtherBUY0.0010287241$300.00
10-23 08:26Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.558$9.33
07-08 06:09Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during press conference?BUY0.4435568017$110.00
07-08 06:07Will Trump say "Trump" during press conference?BUY0.643478258$100.00
07-08 06:01Will Vance say "Election" during Milwaukee remarks?BUY0.4993030652$100.00
07-08 06:00Will Vance say "Economy" during Milwaukee remarks?BUY0.6046931396$100.00
07-07 14:58Will the announcers say "Compact" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.4357528961$900.00
07-06 12:31Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5979999769$10.00
07-06 11:57Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 6?BUY0.7488392991$100.00
07-03 13:33Will anyone say "Password" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?BUY0.1263243579$10.00
07-03 13:29Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Storytime with the Second Lady Podcast?BUY0.1468839911$50.00
06-26 20:42Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
06-03 09:08Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?BUY0.0923759368$100.00
04-23 07:552026 Balance of Power: OtherBUY0.0064743815$110.00
04-23 07:532026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5099999989$110.00