0x18c33d6CDa22aDf6c81A958F7356b5f0206F223a-1782296871095
0x18c33d6cda22adf6c81a958f7356b5f0206f223a
- Realised P&L
- $41.53
- Volume
- $281.05
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $16.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.67at 0.104Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$2.65at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$0.96at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$0.85at 0.540Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
- +$0.79at 0.560Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 08:49 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7? | SELL | 0.2925 | $5.85 |
| 10-28 07:38 | Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:37 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" or "Kamala" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:37 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:37 | Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:36 | Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:35 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:35 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:33 | Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:13 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | BUY | 0.0369999987 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 09:41 | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 09:37 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 09:34 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.3809999878 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 08:37 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |