PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x18C0ADe42F81AAb5536805207f2502b7EC9E8B49-1776728104541

0x18c0ade42f81aab5536805207f2502b7ec9e8b49

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$8.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar27.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0090.007$7.93$2.07
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in September? · Yes0.0360.030$0.84$0.16
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 22:31Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0088232884$10.00
09-20 22:29Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in September?BUY0.0356684263$1.00
08-29 21:49Moises Itauma vs. Filip HrgovicBUY0.1499999982$65.00
08-29 21:47Moises Itauma vs. Filip HrgovicBUY0.149999994$20.00
08-29 21:46Moises Itauma vs. Filip HrgovicBUY0.149999999$115.00
06-17 08:20Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?BUY0.0899999736$3.00
06-12 18:06SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?BUY0.9802546428$190.00
06-12 18:00SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?BUY0.971053361$180.00
05-18 18:10NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 18?BUY0.99$80.00
05-17 00:41Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.999$133.84
05-17 00:41Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.999$102.46
05-16 22:58Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.996$20.00
05-16 22:58Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.9843437701$30.00
05-11 22:29Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
05-11 20:30Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?BUY0.5$5.00