PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Johndorito

0x189d1e0e2a628a47915838a747eba2493677981b

Realised P&L
$226.50
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9070.978$390.40+$28.40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7320.795$304.17+$24.17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8720.875$247.91+$0.91
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9500.982$220.11+$7.11
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? · No0.7500.971$129.40+$29.40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.5960.565$128.96$7.04
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8800.915$103.98+$3.98
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5030.455$86.88$9.14
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.1630.021$13.84$91.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:53Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.8799999996$100.00
07-29 17:06Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.1627248293$105.24
07-29 17:00Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?SELL0.998$108.88
07-27 17:55Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.5722938644$101.00
07-27 17:53Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5028803352$96.03
07-27 17:47Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?SELL0.7611700468$97.58
07-26 17:13Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999995$100.00
07-25 10:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8799999962$147.00
07-24 20:42Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.3021489438$126.30
07-24 05:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9$262.00
07-23 10:05Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.9497864987$213.00
07-23 10:03Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?SELL0.6307120605$70.86
07-23 07:29Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9252918556$100.00
07-23 07:24Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?BUY0.5963223801$67.00
07-22 20:21Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.8930609164$200.00
Trader Johndorito · PolyBot