Johndorito
0x189d1e0e2a628a47915838a747eba2493677981b
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.05at 0.851Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?
- +$127.43at 0.819Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
- +$95.39at 0.797Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?
- +$87.73at 0.596Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$72.59at 0.722Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 10:53 | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999983 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 10:53 | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 10:44 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7742730105 | $122.00 |
| 10-04 10:43 | Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6990586002 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 10:42 | Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7706766853 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 10:39 | Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5857356363 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 10:34 | Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3954649276 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 10:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $333.00 |
| 10-02 17:04 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.6614950605 | $70.00 |
| 10-02 17:03 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5489974291 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 16:51 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | BUY | 0.7783534829 | $260.00 |
| 10-02 16:37 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6862745078 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 16:37 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9014489395 | $149.00 |
| 10-02 07:36 | Israeli forces enter Choukine by September 30? | BUY | 0.9855936207 | $89.30 |
| 10-01 05:38 | Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8079313332 | $30.00 |