Johndorito
0x189d1e0e2a628a47915838a747eba2493677981b
- Realised P&L
- $226.50
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No | 0.907 | 0.978 | $390.40 | +$28.40 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.732 | 0.795 | $304.17 | +$24.17 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No | 0.872 | 0.875 | $247.91 | +$0.91 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.982 | $220.11 | +$7.11 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? · No | 0.750 | 0.971 | $129.40 | +$29.40 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes | 0.596 | 0.565 | $128.96 | −$7.04 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No | 0.880 | 0.915 | $103.98 | +$3.98 |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.455 | $86.88 | −$9.14 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.021 | $13.84 | −$91.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.59at 0.722Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?
- +$51.52at 0.660Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$36.18at 0.171Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$33.37at 0.820Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
- +$24.67at 0.680Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:53 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 17:06 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.1627248293 | $105.24 |
| 07-29 17:00 | Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $108.88 |
| 07-27 17:55 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.5722938644 | $101.00 |
| 07-27 17:53 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5028803352 | $96.03 |
| 07-27 17:47 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7611700468 | $97.58 |
| 07-26 17:13 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 10:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8799999962 | $147.00 |
| 07-24 20:42 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.3021489438 | $126.30 |
| 07-24 05:35 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $262.00 |
| 07-23 10:05 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.9497864987 | $213.00 |
| 07-23 10:03 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6307120605 | $70.86 |
| 07-23 07:29 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9252918556 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 07:24 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5963223801 | $67.00 |
| 07-22 20:21 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | BUY | 0.8930609164 | $200.00 |