ChangingLife
0x18730de9df8cd8e3378007b694d34365f830506f
- Realised P&L
- $148.47
- Volume
- $60.3k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.86at 0.140Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$86.59at 0.448Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
- +$83.96at 0.621Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$66.64at 0.711Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$62.40at 0.639Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:57 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5599999972 | $32.39 |
| 10-16 10:57 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 07:57 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.2999999959 | $14.53 |
| 10-14 07:57 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $15.04 |
| 10-05 17:51 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $467.42 |
| 10-05 17:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.789999998 | $67.00 |
| 10-05 17:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.824999992 | $67.00 |
| 10-05 17:50 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999988 | $67.00 |
| 10-05 17:50 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 10-05 17:50 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.976 | $89.00 |
| 10-05 17:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $89.00 |
| 10-05 17:49 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3582089509 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 10:14 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $540.00 |
| 09-05 10:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999982 | $57.00 |
| 09-05 10:13 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.6911482208 | $68.00 |