PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ChangingLife

0x18730de9df8cd8e3378007b694d34365f830506f

Realised P&L
$148.47
Volume
$60.3k
Markets traded
200
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded200
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · No0.9970.998$452.59+$0.23
Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? · Yes0.9320.978$116.42+$5.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? · No0.9500.961$89.98+$0.98
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9760.971$88.50−$0.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7900.865$73.36+$6.36
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6700.714$71.35+$4.35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8250.778$63.22−$3.78
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6900.555$53.89−$13.11
Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs0.5600.555$32.10−$0.29
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2900.275$14.20−$0.80
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.245$14.13−$0.87
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3580.180$10.05−$9.95
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.056$5.60−$9.40
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.0000.060$4.09+$4.09
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 10:57Thunder vs. SpursBUY0.5599999972$32.39
10-16 10:57Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2899999996$15.00
10-14 07:57Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.2999999959$14.53
10-14 07:57Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?SELL0.996$15.04
10-05 17:51Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.997$467.42
10-05 17:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.789999998$67.00
10-05 17:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.824999992$67.00
10-05 17:50Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.6899999988$67.00
10-05 17:50Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.67$67.00
10-05 17:50Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.976$89.00
10-05 17:50Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?BUY0.95$89.00
10-05 17:49Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3582089509$20.00
09-05 10:14Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.995$540.00
09-05 10:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4899999982$57.00
09-05 10:13Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.6911482208$68.00