PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

basmati

0x184fe78ac8920ad66485476c40e091f29c95e0b2

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$127.0k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.2480.225$272.18−$27.81
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3550.403$226.50+$26.50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4350.564$124.49+$28.49
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1300.135$103.85+$3.85
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.049$70.86−$79.14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2200.315$57.27+$17.27
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.0510.058$56.22+$6.22
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.4450.270$30.34−$19.66
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0900.021$23.89−$76.11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.031$17.22−$82.78
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0990.021$10.35−$39.65
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.041$9.00−$11.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.2380.002$0.84−$99.16
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 23:24Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.2199999998$200.00
10-27 23:24Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.5804750486$405.73
10-27 14:48Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2199999998$40.00
10-25 23:22Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1119485036$50.00
10-25 15:14Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.24$45.51
10-19 21:00Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1084754993$50.00
10-19 21:00Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?BUY0.099990001$100.00
10-16 23:34Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?BUY0.16$30.00
10-16 23:34Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.1499999997$50.00
10-16 02:13Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2944089772$300.00
10-12 02:34US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2099999996$100.00
10-11 22:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.59$118.00
10-09 23:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.62$124.00
10-09 22:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.6611717039$200.00
10-04 14:56Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.0511363636$50.00