PolyBot

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Traders

basmati

0x184fe78ac8920ad66485476c40e091f29c95e0b2

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$118.2k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4350.489$450.19+$50.19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3550.366$206.24+$6.24
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1300.125$96.15$3.85
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.3330.285$85.68$14.32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.2380.105$44.02$55.98
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.4450.305$34.28$15.72
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0900.029$31.67$68.33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.046$25.83$74.17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0340.015$21.57$28.43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0990.029$14.90$35.10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.045$10.00$10.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00$25.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$200.00
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5? · No0.0910.000$0.00$31.60
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.1700.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:43Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.2899999985$50.00
09-16 02:43Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.360999999$100.00
09-15 00:27Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3499999997$100.00
09-13 22:10Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0336129403$50.00
09-11 11:52Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.2385211688$100.00
09-10 13:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?SELL0.999$885.53
09-01 21:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.08$8.00
09-01 21:27Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.3899999967$30.00
09-01 09:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.2315484805$100.00
08-30 22:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.2199999985$100.00
08-29 16:38Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.3899999902$20.00
08-27 23:35Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
08-23 15:50Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4349288685$400.00
07-05 21:50Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$50.00
07-05 21:48Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.2799999981$100.00