NikosDad
0x180d30aaec31cb4c3877bdd989880479d947af1a
- Realised P&L
- $-495.96
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $241.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $181.53 | −$35.92 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? · No | 0.049 | 0.035 | $59.79 | −$25.79 |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$483.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.45at 0.010Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:22 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $15.24 |
| 10-30 20:06 | Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.05 | $55.55 |
| 10-30 20:06 | Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.049 | $1.08 |
| 10-30 20:06 | Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.049 | $11.03 |
| 10-30 20:06 | Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.048 | $12.00 |
| 10-30 20:06 | Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.047 | $4.70 |
| 10-25 00:13 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011 | $91.13 |
| 10-21 22:36 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009777115 | $107.73 |
| 10-21 22:33 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.80 |
| 05-20 07:08 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $2.29 |
| 05-18 23:05 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.54 |
| 05-18 23:04 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.3701639194 | $483.34 |