0x180c5919afb6167d497ba51d9b1ffcde60679538
0x180c5919afb6167d497ba51d9b1ffcde60679538
- Realised P&L
- $-1.07
- Volume
- $0.00
- Markets traded
- 0
- Open portfolio
- $14.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded0
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.018 | $7.59 | −$1.85 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.338 | 0.175 | $3.56 | −$3.30 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.029 | $1.89 | −$7.91 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.029 | $1.01 | −$3.88 |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.033 | $0.71 | −$1.25 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.07 |