0x17f779AB942Ae8D9370d31C2FceD4893557D4F7C-1783902498686
0x17f779ab942ae8d9370d31c2fced4893557d4f7c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $47.4k
- Markets traded
- 341
- Open portfolio
- $564.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded341
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · No | 0.722 | 0.798 | $157.09 | +$15.05 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs · B8 | 0.600 | 0.595 | $121.84 | −$1.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · No | 0.471 | 0.602 | $66.02 | +$14.37 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.310 | 0.305 | $59.69 | −$0.98 |
| Titans vs. Giants · Giants | 0.640 | 0.580 | $54.68 | −$5.66 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.385 | $52.01 | −$7.43 |
| Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.5 · Yes | 0.388 | 0.200 | $22.40 | −$21.08 |
| LoL: SU Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C · UCAM Esports Club | 0.620 | 0.690 | $22.04 | +$2.24 |
| Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.485 | $8.58 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.88at 0.104Will Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
- +$145.63at 0.341Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
- +$135.00at 0.259Will FC Slovan Liberec vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?
- +$130.69at 0.392Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
- +$125.56at 0.367Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | SELL | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 01:29 | Titans vs. Giants | SELL | 0.63 | $7.54 |
| 09-22 01:29 | Titans vs. Giants | BUY | 0.64 | $68.00 |
| 09-22 01:19 | LoL: SU Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $19.80 |
| 09-22 01:06 | Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.3882142857 | $43.48 |
| 09-21 21:39 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3099999991 | $60.67 |
| 09-21 20:31 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.797 | $68.52 |
| 09-21 19:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4709999967 | $51.65 |
| 09-21 19:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.7219999976 | $146.55 |
| 09-21 15:28 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.599999999 | $122.86 |
| 09-21 11:17 | Game Handicap: SC (-1.5) vs Arctic Pandas (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5691960451 | $23.01 |
| 09-19 10:19 | LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5899999684 | $5.78 |
| 09-19 09:10 | Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $87.07 |
| 09-19 02:00 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.999 | $201.70 |
| 09-19 01:48 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.9184969934 | $185.45 |