eightf
0x17e3ba559a09940e908e7d6eaf8f9f3efa26a9ee
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.750 | $1.6k | +$652.49 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.875 | $821.76 | +$154.96 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5) · Tennessee Volunteers | 0.544 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$217.76 |
| Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5) · Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$214.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.13at 0.526Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)
- +$359.13at 0.526Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)
- +$354.20at 0.535Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)
- +$354.20at 0.535Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-30.5)
- +$354.20at 0.535Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 01:27 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $666.80 |
| 07-19 01:27 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.44 | $46.11 |
| 04-01 17:35 | Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027? | BUY | 0.9803535805 | $86.59 |
| 03-28 21:35 | Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $198.25 |
| 03-28 21:34 | Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $210.15 |
| 03-22 13:48 | Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $198.25 |
| 03-21 21:24 | Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $206.18 |
| 03-21 02:47 | Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $206.18 |
| 03-20 18:37 | Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-36.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $204.20 |
| 03-20 13:38 | Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $210.15 |
| 03-20 13:38 | Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5) | BUY | 0.501 | $198.65 |
| 03-20 13:00 | Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $206.18 |
| 03-20 12:58 | Spread: Utah State Aggies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $198.25 |
| 03-20 12:57 | Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $198.25 |
| 03-20 12:55 | Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-30.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $206.18 |