hymolu
0x17e313bb9173febb23c865a2ef8a4e8e0eaf9ba5
- Realised P&L
- $122.6k
- Volume
- $2.41M
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $323.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.3kat 0.929Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$28.1kat 0.811Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$14.6kat 0.870Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$7.6kat 0.915Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
- +$6.8kat 0.885Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:39 | Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.0458879781 | $16.79 |
| 09-15 20:11 | Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.16 |
| 09-08 19:12 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | BUY | 0.9986692422 | $1.5k |
| 09-08 00:28 | Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 09-02 17:29 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $22.20 |
| 08-31 18:49 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 08-31 17:47 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.97 |
| 08-31 16:49 | Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | SELL | 0.84 | $5.88 |
| 08-31 16:41 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | BUY | 0.191 | $6.17 |
| 08-31 16:40 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | BUY | 0.6013907285 | $181.62 |
| 08-31 16:37 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | BUY | 0.0930780774 | $16.81 |
| 08-31 02:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | SELL | 0.995 | $11.5k |
| 08-29 21:37 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $13.75 |
| 08-29 21:36 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.8 | $5.20 |
| 08-29 20:31 | Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.57 |