PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Performance

0x17c13d7d5d7c386e0a1b6ae93e06df977fa93799

Realised P&L
$-524.22
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.8250.865$445.48+$20.68
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.7120.885$407.67+$79.47
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.8450.865$314.86+$7.43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7700.695$298.15−$32.17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.8500.925$185.00+$15.00
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · No0.8600.855$171.00−$1.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.825$165.00−$5.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.6000.655$131.00+$11.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6500.645$129.00−$1.00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8800.915$127.93+$4.89
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes0.1400.095$95.00−$45.00
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.7000.645$77.40−$6.60
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · No0.6500.940$75.18+$23.19
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · No0.8200.952$57.12+$7.92
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 00:03Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.65$130.00
10-10 00:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.6$120.00
10-09 23:58Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7$84.00
10-09 23:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$170.00
10-09 23:53Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?BUY0.86$172.00
09-22 19:05US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0111600064$2.79
09-22 19:04US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.01149844$2.87
09-22 00:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.97$77.60
09-22 00:30Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.969$433.14
09-22 00:28Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.85$141.95
09-22 00:25Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.84$165.48
09-22 00:25Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.83$207.49
09-22 00:24Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.82$4.56
09-22 00:24Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.82$212.75
09-22 00:21UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.14$140.00