PolyBot

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Traders

yoshi92

0x17a55b84d39e643e0a28a5f7a529d5254c7dc36f

Realised P&L
$14.3k
Volume
$1.30M
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$797.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.1300.075$635.72$462.27
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.1660.155$161.42$11.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$136.84
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$10.66
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$56.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$398.84
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$98.86
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$14.91
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$1.7k
Was Kanye hacked? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$160.98
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 19-25? · No0.0210.000$0.00$99.67
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$60.18
US forces in Venezuela by December 31? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$24.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 14:27US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.1656348857$172.50
08-26 11:14US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.1390137409$866.00
08-26 11:12US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.12$23.19
08-12 03:28US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.1025430681$140.00
06-23 12:28 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.0255482612$98.86
06-23 12:05Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.0324207963$398.85
04-29 18:32US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.1049397826$659.87
04-29 18:30U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?SELL0.2247656825$241.10
04-26 17:34U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?BUY0.3284050519$352.28
04-26 17:26US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.1226401982$150.00
04-26 16:06US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.1138116054$574.62
03-01 00:33Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.9744883122$2.8k
02-28 10:22Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.5499999999$1.6k
02-14 02:47US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.2735320834$560.09
02-14 02:46Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.17$15.91