yoshi92
0x17a55b84d39e643e0a28a5f7a529d5254c7dc36f
- Realised P&L
- $14.3k
- Volume
- $1.30M
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $797.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.4kat 0.419Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.293Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.268Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
- +$1.5kat 0.029Maduro out in 2025?
- +$1.2kat 0.550Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 14:27 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.1656348857 | $172.50 |
| 08-26 11:14 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.1390137409 | $866.00 |
| 08-26 11:12 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $23.19 |
| 08-12 03:28 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.1025430681 | $140.00 |
| 06-23 12:28 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.0255482612 | $98.86 |
| 06-23 12:05 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.0324207963 | $398.85 |
| 04-29 18:32 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.1049397826 | $659.87 |
| 04-29 18:30 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? | SELL | 0.2247656825 | $241.10 |
| 04-26 17:34 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? | BUY | 0.3284050519 | $352.28 |
| 04-26 17:26 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.1226401982 | $150.00 |
| 04-26 16:06 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.1138116054 | $574.62 |
| 03-01 00:33 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.9744883122 | $2.8k |
| 02-28 10:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.5499999999 | $1.6k |
| 02-14 02:47 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.2735320834 | $560.09 |
| 02-14 02:46 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $15.91 |