0x1795d71433e1f83851c772b29728d483ec29fcfa
0x1795d71433e1f83851c772b29728d483ec29fcfa
- Realised P&L
- $-85.35
- Volume
- $940.41
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $6.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.810 | 0.845 | $4.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.747 | 0.976 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.160 | $0.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.88 |
| Will Real SC win on 2026-08-30? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.90at 0.495Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-08?
- +$7.18at 0.595Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers
- +$7.05at 0.307Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs. FK Mladost Lucani end in a draw?
- +$6.12at 0.505Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-06?
- +$5.37at 0.535Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:28 | Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5599999816 | $4.88 |
| 09-07 12:11 | Will Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 06:41 | Will Real SC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.0255060259 | $8.00 |
| 08-26 08:06 | Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.4899999559 | $4.00 |
| 08-26 08:04 | Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.649999935 | $3.00 |
| 08-26 08:03 | Will Preston Lions FC win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.3699999272 | $3.00 |
| 08-26 08:02 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 08-26 08:01 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-25 13:17 | Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-25? | BUY | 0.3699999686 | $3.65 |
| 08-25 13:15 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-25? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 08-25 13:14 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-25? | BUY | 0.3699999272 | $3.00 |
| 08-25 13:12 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 15:05 | Will SE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 20:08 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.5099999901 | $20.58 |
| 08-08 08:34 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.4799999833 | $10.36 |