0x178520421fe8079fa9d63a9a7190918cbe11a867
0x178520421fe8079fa9d63a9a7190918cbe11a867
- Realised P&L
- $-708.42
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $33.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? · No | 0.941 | 0.941 | $5.93 | −$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 9? · No | 0.640 | 0.985 | $4.49 | +$1.57 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 9? · No | 0.770 | 0.949 | $3.69 | +$0.69 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.155 | $3.37 | −$11.63 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? · No | 0.810 | 0.885 | $3.22 | +$0.27 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9? · No | 0.058 | 0.064 | $3.17 | +$0.28 |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.315 | $3.15 | +$0.65 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? · No | 0.900 | 0.991 | $2.97 | +$0.27 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.775 | $2.33 | −$0.52 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 9? · Yes | 0.773 | 0.345 | $1.33 | −$1.64 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9? · No | 0.090 | 0.006 | $0.19 | −$2.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.94at 0.402Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
- +$67.44at 0.602Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner
- +$49.00at 0.592Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
- +$48.75at 0.512Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
- +$38.89at 0.720Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 00:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.941 | $2.96 |
| 10-09 00:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.941 | $2.96 |
| 10-08 17:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.88 |
| 10-08 17:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.85 |
| 10-08 15:44 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 10-08 15:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.90 |
| 10-08 13:32 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 9? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 13:31 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 9? | BUY | 0.773 | $2.97 |
| 10-07 16:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.58 |
| 10-07 16:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.87 | $2.61 |
| 10-07 15:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.73 |
| 10-07 15:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.82 |
| 10-07 15:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.85 |
| 10-07 12:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.70 |
| 10-07 11:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 9? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.92 |