PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Orzelki

0x1770eb4642616ce1e6dc563fa6ebdb1d4e72b3d9

Realised P&L
$34.04
Volume
$1.20M
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$45.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 20? · No0.9340.994$9.02+$0.54
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · No0.9770.980$8.86+$0.02
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9880.992$8.18+$0.03
Exact Score: SSC Napoli 3 - 3 FK Bodø/Glimt? · No0.9840.983$5.83−$0.01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? · No0.9851.000$5.07+$0.07
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? · No0.9200.954$4.70+$0.17
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9860.973$3.95−$0.05
Dodgers vs. Pirates · Dodgers0.6300.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor? · Yes0.9800.000$0.00−$68.00
Will Como win on 2025-10-19? · No0.7140.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Trump resign today? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Torino win on 2025-10-18? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 12:45Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 20?BUY0.933999998$8.48
10-20 12:43Exact Score: SSC Napoli 3 - 3 FK Bodø/Glimt?BUY0.9839999987$5.84
10-12 19:12Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9769999976$8.84
09-27 21:21Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 28?BUY0.99$7.66
08-28 14:54Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?BUY0.985059748$5.00
08-28 14:53Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 12m?BUY0.9874819056$9.53
07-12 17:30Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.9399999963$5.09
06-30 08:50Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 1?BUY0.92$7.72
05-19 17:48US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.9489999769$20.00
04-21 21:45Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?BUY0.9199999919$4.53
04-21 21:44Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9769999983$5.32
04-08 08:34Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY0.9909999998$6.40
04-08 08:32Will Brighton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?BUY0.999$7.43
03-20 19:48Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.9929999993$4.35
03-13 17:10Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.987999999$8.15