PolyBot

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Traders

0x1745587c9c78e31e4dcbf96b50d2dbb757e1813d

Realised P&L
$-4.37
Volume
$79.68
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$12.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8? · No0.3500.455$2.72+$0.63
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6700.865$2.70+$0.61
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.895$2.34+$0.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7800.795$2.13+$0.04
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.7800.735$1.97$0.12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4800.145$0.63$1.46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.2200.001$0.00$1.39
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.4900.001$0.00$1.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 06:29US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.7799999701$2.09
08-05 10:28WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 5?BUY0.2299999285$2.09
08-05 10:19SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.6899999109$2.09
08-04 21:00S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.5199999801$2.09
08-04 12:46Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4599999076$2.09
08-04 04:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.67$2.09
08-03 20:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$2.09
08-03 11:47US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7799999701$2.09
08-03 03:45Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8?BUY0.3499999246$2.09
08-02 19:36Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5199999801$2.09
08-02 11:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4799999541$2.09
08-02 00:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.219999905$1.39
08-01 16:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6999999665$2.09
08-01 00:26Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 16:24New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.09