0x1745587c9c78e31e4dcbf96b50d2dbb757e1813d
0x1745587c9c78e31e4dcbf96b50d2dbb757e1813d
- Realised P&L
- $-6.94
- Volume
- $191.65
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $8.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.510 | $3.95 | +$1.86 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.980 | $3.20 | +$1.11 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.121 | $0.94 | −$1.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.93at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.96at 0.420Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.96at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$2.45at 0.460Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.480S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 22:44 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.269999991 | $2.09 |
| 09-20 03:48 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999991 | $2.09 |
| 09-19 06:28 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.09 |
| 09-18 01:07 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5399999122 | $2.09 |
| 09-17 12:08 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999222 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 00:40 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999879 | $2.09 |
| 09-10 18:50 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2599999851 | $2.09 |
| 09-10 08:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.09 |
| 09-09 23:08 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999816 | $2.09 |
| 09-08 13:35 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-08 04:46 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999472 | $2.06 |
| 09-07 17:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.09 |
| 09-03 02:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.7399999929 | $2.09 |
| 09-01 12:30 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999076 | $2.09 |
| 09-01 04:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1? | BUY | 0.4699999348 | $2.09 |