PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1718D9b6e101b7FC38a4475133DC1f1f76fE8Cee-1765846874566

0x1718d9b6e101b7fc38a4475133dc1f1f76fe8cee

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$323.8k
Markets traded
373
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded373
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes0.6670.735$761.88+$70.03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0440.097$482.48+$260.08
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.059$297.50$602.50
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes0.3030.185$249.48$158.99
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.7590.255$238.79$471.60
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.185$185.00$295.00
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.095$142.50$322.50
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.2850.090$40.73$88.39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.6700.080$15.90$118.10
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1660.004$7.84$316.66
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$33.49
Will Trump say "New York" this week? · No0.7590.000$0.00$116.46
Will Trump say "UFC" this week? · No0.6580.000$0.00$88.80
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$47.00
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$116.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:11Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.928$123.02
07-14 01:17Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?BUY0.71$48.96
06-08 03:27Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week?BUY0.989$45.30
06-08 03:27Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week?BUY0.988$29.64
05-29 20:31Will Trump say "Pizza" in May?BUY0.97$10.28
05-29 07:29Will Trump say "Uber" this week?BUY0.95$7.06
05-29 07:28Will Trump say "Damn" this week?BUY0.95$11.99
05-29 07:28Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?BUY0.92$9.20
05-29 07:28Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?BUY0.91$9.10
05-29 07:27Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?BUY0.92$11.50
05-29 07:27Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?BUY0.85$9.90
05-29 07:26Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?BUY0.95$19.00
05-29 07:26Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?BUY0.94$16.80
05-29 07:26Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?BUY0.93$19.91
05-29 07:26Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?BUY0.92$11.96