0x1718D9b6e101b7FC38a4475133DC1f1f76fE8Cee-1765846874566
0x1718d9b6e101b7fc38a4475133dc1f1f76fe8cee
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $323.8k
- Markets traded
- 373
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded373
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$636.89at 0.458Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
- +$602.09at 0.749Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 9?
- +$486.91at 0.749Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 2?
- +$355.78at 0.759Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2?
- +$328.72at 0.815Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:11 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.928 | $123.02 |
| 07-14 01:17 | Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? | BUY | 0.71 | $48.96 |
| 06-08 03:27 | Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week? | BUY | 0.989 | $45.30 |
| 06-08 03:27 | Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week? | BUY | 0.988 | $29.64 |
| 05-29 20:31 | Will Trump say "Pizza" in May? | BUY | 0.97 | $10.28 |
| 05-29 07:29 | Will Trump say "Uber" this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.06 |
| 05-29 07:28 | Will Trump say "Damn" this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $11.99 |
| 05-29 07:28 | Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 05-29 07:28 | Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 05-29 07:27 | Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.50 |
| 05-29 07:27 | Will Trump say "Nuke" this week? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.90 |
| 05-29 07:26 | Will Trump say "Traitor" this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 05-29 07:26 | Will Trump say "Traitor" this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $16.80 |
| 05-29 07:26 | Will Trump say "Traitor" this week? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.91 |
| 05-29 07:26 | Will Trump say "Traitor" this week? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.96 |