analogicpp
0x17008146268bba54698fea863c41cb429fa3b560
- Realised P&L
- $5.08
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $22.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.43at 0.350Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$14.23at 0.260Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$11.70at 0.460Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$9.00at 0.100Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$6.12at 0.144Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 19:41 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 00:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 00:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 20:19 | France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 20:17 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 20:17 | Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | BUY | 0.1019999955 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 20:16 | Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | BUY | 0.1859999684 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 20:16 | Will Gemini be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | BUY | 0.0659999963 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 20:14 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 20:12 | Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:33 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 08-17 18:47 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 18:45 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 18:44 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |