PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Sm1ck

0x16be48404be1623ac87cb5b18df22ff20931af26

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$439.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5470.460$413.49$78.80
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Spain0.5901.000$16.95+$6.95
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? · Yes0.0600.032$9.47$8.57
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$349.22
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4120.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$48.98
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · No0.0270.000$0.00$41.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$40.53
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$132.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 17:54Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999947$10.00
07-19 17:53Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4124999799$10.00
01-20 14:35No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.0270696039$41.00
01-20 14:29Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.025152576$40.53
01-14 15:49US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY0.64$132.91
01-05 14:04Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.53$349.22
11-22 02:54StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?BUY0.06$0.04
11-22 02:54StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?BUY0.06$18.00
11-21 10:06Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?SELL0.006$2.87
11-20 18:12Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?BUY0.023004417$3.39
11-20 18:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21?BUY0.46$0.41
11-19 21:56Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?BUY0.0469999991$50.00
11-16 00:36Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?BUY0.999$101.39
11-13 02:42Will the government shutdown end November 13?SELL0.055$5.50
10-24 22:49Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5470628251$492.29