PolyBot

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Traders

0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba8492

0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba8492

Realised P&L
$-233.3k
Volume
$33.01M
Markets traded
1,748
Open portfolio
$100.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,748
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7060.875$53.2k+$10.3k
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3730.295$25.3k−$6.7k
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? · No0.8190.978$12.2k+$2.0k
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3810.305$8.9k−$2.2k
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) · Cowboys0.4700.009$252.02−$12.2k
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1700.155$155.00−$15.00
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) · Cowboys0.4900.009$29.39−$1.5k
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers0.5500.000$0.00−$5.8k
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers0.4700.000$0.00−$5.6k
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 · Under0.4700.000$0.00−$23.6k
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Los Angeles Angels0.3800.000$0.00−$5.7k
Spread: Duke (-2.5) · Duke0.5400.000$0.00−$5.5k
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins0.5100.000$0.00−$28.1k
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 · Over0.5570.000$0.00−$26.3k
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies0.5100.000$0.00−$9.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:56Raiders vs. JetsBUY0.54$35.1k
11-01 16:29Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5BUY0.45$1.4k
11-01 16:29Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5BUY0.52$3.7k
11-01 12:51Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)BUY0.47$12.5k
10-31 23:32Spread: Oregon State (-6.5)BUY0.51$1.0k
10-31 19:28Spread: Georgia (-11.5)BUY0.49$3.4k
10-31 19:12Spread: TCU (-6.5)BUY0.48$74.26
10-31 15:38Spread: SMU (-10.5)BUY0.55$111.65
10-31 15:37Spread: SMU (-8.5)BUY0.49$3.0k
10-31 15:37Spread: SMU (-9.5)BUY0.51$112.41
10-31 15:33Spread: Ole Miss (-10.5)BUY0.52$10.2k
10-31 14:43Arizona vs. Texas TechBUY0.38$2.5k
10-31 13:49Spread: South Florida (-7.5)BUY0.51$298.88
10-31 12:55Spread: Wake Forest (-13.5)BUY0.52$803.73
10-31 12:29Spread: Western Michigan (-16.5)BUY0.56$883.23