0x16b6820b8855ad31d77f50deabff0d6fd491fffa
- Realised P&L
- $-29.85
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $53.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.009 | $35.37 | −$29.61 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.520 | 0.575 | $16.59 | +$1.59 |
| Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $1.18 | −$1.83 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:49 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.014 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 03:09 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 20:54 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $15.00 |
| 09-11 14:03 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.021 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 23:37 | Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0038171004 | $3.01 |
| 09-09 22:53 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.017 | $19.98 |