PachaKutiq
0x16af6b53036cac2393e7994ded8e0226986b12a5
- Realised P&L
- $628.11
- Volume
- $327.3k
- Markets traded
- 272
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded272
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$455.94at 0.184US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$411.33at 0.434US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$172.98at 0.041US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
- +$159.30at 0.611US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$111.52at 0.047US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 00:33 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.65 |
| 08-05 00:32 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.16 |
| 07-31 20:38 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.91 | $47.05 |
| 07-31 20:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 07-30 21:03 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 07-30 20:59 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 07-30 20:56 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.91 | $72.80 |
| 07-30 20:54 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 07-30 20:50 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 07-30 20:47 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.915 | $183.00 |
| 07-30 20:46 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.915 | $183.00 |
| 07-29 18:40 | Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 07-29 18:27 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 07-29 18:18 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 07-29 18:16 | Will Warsh say "Consumer Confidence" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.10445 | $1.04 |