PachaKutiq
0x16af6b53036cac2393e7994ded8e0226986b12a5
- Realised P&L
- $599.24
- Volume
- $365.6k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$455.95at 0.184US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$411.34at 0.433US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$172.98at 0.041US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
- +$159.30at 0.611US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$111.52at 0.047US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:12 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $36.53 |
| 10-02 21:12 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $187.50 |
| 10-02 20:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.74930075 | $299.72 |
| 10-02 20:30 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | SELL | 0.954457455 | $124.06 |
| 10-02 18:20 | Will Subtenente Luiz Carlos win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-02 14:53 | Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.62 | $32.63 |
| 10-02 14:53 | Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 10-02 14:52 | Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.61 | $81.75 |
| 10-02 14:51 | Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 10-02 14:51 | Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 10-02 14:40 | Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.62 | $20.96 |
| 10-02 14:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 10-02 14:12 | Will Partido Novo (NOVO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-02 14:12 | Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-02 14:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.747 | $74.70 |